Rehmonnya Institute of Civic Engagement
Introduction
The election by the Myanmar coup military junta, which was held from December 28, 2025, has a significant impact on the future of the entire Union, as well as on the self-determination rights and administrative structures of the states, despite the opposition and rejection of the opposing revolutionary forces.
ASEAN Five-Point Consensus No Longer Viable
Introduction
The year 2026 marks a historic turning point for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), as well as for the Myanmar political crisis. As the Philippines assumes the ASEAN chairmanship, the situation in Myanmar remains the most significant challenge threatening regional stability. The ASEAN Five-Point Consensus (5PC), adopted in 2021, has not achieved any tangible success in nearly five years and has effectively become unworkable. The junta’s disregard for its commitments, escalating violence within Myanmar, and unilateral elections are severely testing ASEAN’s unity and centrality. This analytical paper provides a detailed analysis of the international responses to the Myanmar issue as of January 2026, the future of ASEAN under the leadership of the Philippines, and the Myanmar situation. In particular, it will highlight the potential actions of the incoming chair, the Philippines, and assess with supporting data why the ASEAN Five-Point Consensus is no longer viable.
