Rehmonnya Institute of Civic Engagement
Introduction
The election by the Myanmar coup military junta, which was held from December 28, 2025, has a significant impact on the future of the entire Union, as well as on the self-determination rights and administrative structures of the states, despite the opposition and rejection of the opposing revolutionary forces.
ASEAN Five-Point Consensus No Longer Viable
Introduction
The year 2026 marks a historic turning point for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), as well as for the Myanmar political crisis. As the Philippines assumes the ASEAN chairmanship, the situation in Myanmar remains the most significant challenge threatening regional stability. The ASEAN Five-Point Consensus (5PC), adopted in 2021, has not achieved any tangible success in nearly five years and has effectively become unworkable. The junta’s disregard for its commitments, escalating violence within Myanmar, and unilateral elections are severely testing ASEAN’s unity and centrality. This analytical paper provides a detailed analysis of the international responses to the Myanmar issue as of January 2026, the future of ASEAN under the leadership of the Philippines, and the Myanmar situation. In particular, it will highlight the potential actions of the incoming chair, the Philippines, and assess with supporting data why the ASEAN Five-Point Consensus is no longer viable.
The Mon Unity Party (MUP), the political party of the Mon people, will participate in the upcoming (2025) election to be held by the Myanmar military junta. On November 20th, the Mon Unity Party’s election policy positions were broadcast on Myanmar Radio and Television (MRTV), which is controlled by the military junta, and were also reposted on the party’s official social media page.
Mon In the period following the military coup, Mon State transitioned its fuel distribution system from Yangon (Thilawa Port) to Puma International Port Terminal (Yaza Min Port) in Mudon Township, in a decentralized import approach.[1] This system change, coupled with insufficient fuel supplies, illegal exports to border areas, and administrative weaknesses, has led to fuel shortages and price increases. Despite the military council’s Ministry of Energy stating that it would distribute fuel at affordable prices, the complete lack of effective oversight on the ground and the delay in implementing even the State Chief Minister’s directives for up to two weeks[2] highlight a significant decline in administrative efficiency.
The political crisis in Myanmar continues to be a major issue challenging the unity and centrality of ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations), a regional organization. A review of international responses between October 21 and November 19, 2025, particularly the actions of ASEAN and its member states, reveals that the Myanmar issue remains an important topic on the ASEAN agenda. This paper will analyze and present ASEAN’s collective decisions regarding the Myanmar issue, the individual positions of member states such as Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines, and the response of the State Administration Council.
