Browsing: Monthly analysis

The Mon State Federal Council (MSFC) emerged from the transformation of the Mon State Interim Coordination Council (MSICC) during a pivotal conference convened on January 21st and 22nd of 2023. Evolving into a multi-faceted governing body, the MSFC embodies the structure of executive, legislative, and judiciary branches like traditional governmental frameworks. Within the MSFC’s executive arm, ten departments oversee various administrative functions, ranging from defense and home affairs to education, health, humanitarian aid, and more. Noteworthy among them are departments managing land resources, external relations, finance, and taxation, showcasing the broad scope of the council’s authority. Importantly,…

MONTHLY SOCIO-ECONOMIC ANALYSIS  February  2024 Rehmonnya Institute For Civic Engagement (RICE)  The armed clashes across the country have intensified even though the military has been over three years. Concurrently, the political space is getting narrow and the civil war is broadening daily. The military junta, which addresses the political problem by using violence, is now facing an unprecedented level of defeat and deadlock of the political way out. Additionally, due to the conscription law that was declared by the military regime on February 10,2024, many young people are fleeing to neighboring countries and it has huge impacts on economic and…

MONTHLY SOCIO-ECONOMIC ANALYSIS  JANUARY 2024 Rehmonnya Institute For Civic Engagement (RICE)  Myanmar, also known as Burma, continues to face significant challenges in attaining a state of peace. The Myanmar military, which addresses the political problem by using violence, is now facing unprecedented levels of defeat. The civil war has escalated throughout the entire country, with armed clashes persisting endlessly. Simultaneously, the economic progress achieved over the past decade under democratic governance is regressing. Furthermore, the healthcare and education sectors are deteriorating rapidly, lacking reliable healthcare system and accessible education for all. The military junta presently suffers substantial losses,…

In this January’s Peace Analysis, the trends of the self-autonomy adopted by certain ethnic armed organizations, within the Northern Alliance, with a main purpose to liberate from the control of the central government is existing into practice. The imminent prospect of a significant confrontation in the Southern regions of Burma/Myanmar during the new year, named “Battle Call of the Southern Burma,” has been highlighted in our weekly peace analysis. A thorough examination reveals that the revolutionary forces have gained an upper hand in the conflict, using their dominance in the southern part of Myanmar. Concurrently, the military junta’s strategic military…

In the aftermath of the Mokha storm, the inhabitants of Rakhine state find themselves contending with the arduous task of reconstruction, hoping for a return to normalcy. Regrettably, their aspirations have been thwarted by the unfolding events. The extension of the 1027 Operation into Rakhine State has disrupted the fragile ceasefire commitment between the Rakhine Army (AA) and the Military. This breach holds significant implications for the people of Rakhine, who now face the brunt of renewed hostilities. Paradoxically, amidst the challenges and the immediate impact on the civilian population, there is an observable surge in the Rakhine revolution. This…

Peace Analysis, October 2023 In the wake of the Spring Revolution surpassing its 1000-day milestone, Burma/ Myanmar finds itself caught in over 11, 000 armed conflicts across the nation, yet the prospect of peace remains elusive. This enduring turmoil is rooted in the constricted parameters of the prevailing political structure, exacerbated by the expanding scope of military warfare. Notably, October witnessed a surge in military operations, marked by significant developments, particularly in the northern Shan region where Northern Alliance forces launched successful attacks, reclaiming numerous military junta camps a development akin to Kokang’s homecoming. This triumph bolstered revolutionary groups in…

Monthly Socio-Economic Analysis  October, 2023  Rehmonnya Institute For Civic Engagement (RICE) The rise of armed clashes in Southern Burma  The current political situation in Myanmar has changed to complexity after the 2021 coup to military rule. The civil war and armed clashes have intensified all over the country. As the armed conflicts intensify, the rule of law mechanism has deteriorated further. The fundamental right, which is the freedom to live peacefully, the rights of safety and security, and the freedom of expression are forbidden under unjust law and are no longer available anymore. The situation is getting worse and…

Peace Analysis, September 2023 This analysis focuses into the complex and dangers of air operations within Myanmar’s political landscape, exploring the evolving dynamics between the State Administrative Council (SAC) and the joint forces of the Ethnic Resistance Organizations (EROs) and the People’s Defense Forces (PDFs) amidst the ongoing armed revolution after the military coup. A pivotal aspect shaping contemporary military strategies is the unprecedented rise of drone capabilities, a phenomenon that has dramatically altered the course of engagements. This paper researches the far-reaching implications of drone warfare, an advancement that has inflicted significant casualties upon the military establishment. Consequently, seeking…

Monthly Socio-Economic Analysis  September, 2023  Rehmonnya Institute For Civic Engagement (RICE) A southeast Asia country, (Myanmar formerly known as Burma), still leads a Failed State with various and several collapses following the 2021 coup. Internal instability and intense armed clashes persist throughout the nation, showing no signs of improvement despite nearly three years passing since the coup. Extreme armed conflict and internal instability have led to economic and social collapses such as education and health care. The rule of law has completely crumbled, leading to deteriorating safety and security conditions for the people, with incidents of theft, violence, robberies, and…

August Peace Analysis The August Peace Analysis observes a direct impact between armed conflict and civilian casualties. This phenomenon is further analyzed from a geographical perspective, shedding light on the incremental advancement of revolutionary forces as they cross from forested regions, inhabited by ethnic armed groups, towards urban centers. A critical dimension of this conflict revolves around the violation of the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) according to the Myanmar military junta, State Administrative Council (SAC). This has been opposed by various responses from Ethnic Revolutionary Organizations (EROs). While some EROs view the NCA as null and void due to SAC…

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