Peace Analysis, October 2023 In the wake of the Spring Revolution surpassing its 1000-day milestone, Burma/ Myanmar finds itself caught in over 11, 000 armed conflicts across the nation, yet the prospect of peace remains elusive. This enduring turmoil is rooted in the constricted parameters of the prevailing political structure, exacerbated by the expanding scope of military warfare. Notably, October witnessed a surge in military operations, marked by significant developments, particularly in the northern Shan region where Northern Alliance forces launched successful attacks, reclaiming numerous military junta camps a development akin to Kokang’s homecoming. This triumph bolstered revolutionary groups in…
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Monthly Socio-Economic Analysis October, 2023 Rehmonnya Institute For Civic Engagement (RICE) The rise of armed clashes in Southern Burma The current political situation in Myanmar has changed to complexity after the 2021 coup to military rule. The civil war and armed clashes have intensified all over the country. As the armed conflicts intensify, the rule of law mechanism has deteriorated further. The fundamental right, which is the freedom to live peacefully, the rights of safety and security, and the freedom of expression are forbidden under unjust law and are no longer available anymore. The situation is getting worse and…
Peace Analysis, September 2023 This analysis focuses into the complex and dangers of air operations within Myanmar’s political landscape, exploring the evolving dynamics between the State Administrative Council (SAC) and the joint forces of the Ethnic Resistance Organizations (EROs) and the People’s Defense Forces (PDFs) amidst the ongoing armed revolution after the military coup. A pivotal aspect shaping contemporary military strategies is the unprecedented rise of drone capabilities, a phenomenon that has dramatically altered the course of engagements. This paper researches the far-reaching implications of drone warfare, an advancement that has inflicted significant casualties upon the military establishment. Consequently, seeking…

Monthly Socio-Economic Analysis September, 2023 Rehmonnya Institute For Civic Engagement (RICE) A southeast Asia country, (Myanmar formerly known as Burma), still leads a Failed State with various and several collapses following the 2021 coup. Internal instability and intense armed clashes persist throughout the nation, showing no signs of improvement despite nearly three years passing since the coup. Extreme armed conflict and internal instability have led to economic and social collapses such as education and health care. The rule of law has completely crumbled, leading to deteriorating safety and security conditions for the people, with incidents of theft, violence, robberies, and…
August Peace Analysis The August Peace Analysis observes a direct impact between armed conflict and civilian casualties. This phenomenon is further analyzed from a geographical perspective, shedding light on the incremental advancement of revolutionary forces as they cross from forested regions, inhabited by ethnic armed groups, towards urban centers. A critical dimension of this conflict revolves around the violation of the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) according to the Myanmar military junta, State Administrative Council (SAC). This has been opposed by various responses from Ethnic Revolutionary Organizations (EROs). While some EROs view the NCA as null and void due to SAC…
July Peace Analysis In the realm of Myanmar’s political landscape, a significant development looms as the military junta contemplates relocating Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, the detained civilian government leader, from prison to house arrest. This strategic maneuver, aimed at alleviating the escalating international pressure on SAC (State Administration Council). Notably, Myanmar’s military junta authorities have formally deferred the promised election scheduled for August, extending the state of emergency once again beyond the 2008 constitution. Conversely, the once conventional revolutionary forces, now transformed into an exceptional entity of the military’s “All roads lead to Nay Pyi Taw” strategy. Additionally, an…
Monthly Socio-Economic Analysis for June (2023) Rehmonnya Institute For Civic Engagement (RICE) Political Situation The country (Myanmar) has still been struggling with various crises and a severe collapse following the 2021 coup. The internal instability and strong-intensive armed clashes across the nation. Despite the coup being in effect for almost three years, there is no indication of improvement. The economic and social sectors, including education and healthcare, are in a state of disarray rather than progress. The armed conflict between the People’s Defense Force (PDF), some Ethnic Resistance Organizations (ERO), and the Burmese military is intensifying, with battles raging…
June Peace Analysis The 2021 military coup in Myanmar dealt a severe blow to the country’s ongoing transition towards democracy, undermining the progress made thus far. As Myanmar was still in the process of transforming into a democratic system, the coup shattered hopes for a peaceful transition. Consequently, the younger generations, in their fight for democracy, have been compelled to resort to armed revolution. The lack of security for civilians has exacerbated the destruction of peace, as the civil war and armed conflicts have escalated as direct consequences of the military coup. This analysis will highlight into several key political…
May Peace Analysis Burma/Myanmar is a politically and ethnically diverse country with the longest civil war of over 70 years occurring since the independence from British colonial rule in 1948. Most of the conflicts in Burma/Myanmar are between Ethnic Revolutionary Organizations (EROs) and the Myanmar military. On February 1. In the year 2021, the Tatmadaw (Myanmar military) seized power from the civilian government. Then, the current military coup of 2021, has increased the tension of armed conflicts between Myanmar military and EROs, other resistance forces including the majority Burmese population. The military junta has been committing crimes against humanity, and…
“Since the coup of February 1, 2023, the military regime SAC (State Administration Council), has been committing violations of human rights, crimes against humanity and facing the rise of armed conflicts acroos the country with the strengthened resistance forces. The junta frequently launches airstrikes and ground assaults on what it refers to as “terrorist” sites to suppress resistance forces. After the 26 months of the military seizing power from the NLD government, the junta chief General Min Aung Hlaing acknowledged that around the two-thirds of the country are efficiently under their control and promised to suppress the resistance movement.…