Thursday, October 9
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Browsing: Political Analysis

The Myanmar Military Junta’s Election: Manufacturing Legitimacy for Dictatorship

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By on ANALYSIS, HOME, Political Analysis

The primary objective of this essay is to analyze why the Junta’s election fundamentally lacks legitimacy, and how the severe domestic opposition to this electoral farce has shifted Myanmar’s political trajectory away from restoring the old system under the 2008 Constitution and toward establishing a new Federal Democratic Union. Introduction: The Junta’s Deception The Myanmar Military Junta, which seized power against the will of the people in 2021, has announced plans to hold a general election tentatively scheduled to begin in December 2025 (Wikipedia, 2025). This action is met with unified and categorical rejection from domestic political forces…

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Security Alert for The Mon People

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By on ANALYSIS, HOME, MEDIA, Monthly analysis, Political Analysis

The military junta plans to initially hold elections in five townships in Mon State for the first phase of election: Kyaikto, Kyaik Maraw, Chaung zone, Mawlamyine, and Thaton. The military is increasing security in the remaining townships to prepare for the upcoming elections. Even though there have been few battles in Mon State, military activity continues in some townships. The military junta is also conducting military operations and airstrikes under the pretense of holding elections. Meanwhile, revolutionary groups that oppose the elections are also actively fighting against the military junta’s anti-sham election. The military junta lifted martial law in Ye…

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The Mon Revolution Day (Statement Review)

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By on ANALYSIS, MEDIA, Political Analysis

On the full moon day of  War Gaung, August 8, 2025, the modern Mon Revolution Day reached its 78th anniversary. The Mon Revolution has gone through many ups and downs, rises and falls, but at present it is once again being pushed toward armed revolution. As usual, on this 78th Mon Revolution Day, about 11 different revolutionary forces issued statements and congratulatory messages as RICE has recorded. From these (11) statements, some significant points are highlighted and analyzed below. Bago Revolutionary Forces: The Possible “Mon De” Generation Descendants First, let’s analyze the statements that were sent to Mon State Federal…

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How the revolutionary force MSRF is involved in controlling Union Highway No. 8:

Upcoming Election May Intensify Fighting in Mon State

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By on ANALYSIS, HOME, MEDIA, Political Analysis

Upcoming Election May Intensify Fighting in Mon State In July, there were fewer battles in Mon State between the military and revolutionary forces compared to the dry season because of the rain. However, fighting still continued. It was especially present in the southern part of Mon State, in Ye Township and the border area between Ye and Thanbyuzayat. In July, there were fewer battles in Mon State between the military and revolutionary forces compared to the dry season because of the rain. However, fighting still continued. It was especially present in the southern part of Mon State, in Ye…

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Peace Analysis (January, 2024)

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By on ANALYSIS, HOME, Monthly analysis, Political Analysis

In this January’s Peace Analysis, the trends of the self-autonomy adopted by certain ethnic armed organizations, within the Northern Alliance, with a main purpose to liberate from the control of the central government is existing into practice. The imminent prospect of a significant confrontation in the Southern regions of Burma/Myanmar during the new year, named “Battle Call of the Southern Burma,” has been highlighted in our weekly peace analysis. A thorough examination reveals that the revolutionary forces have gained an upper hand in the conflict, using their dominance in the southern part of Myanmar. Concurrently, the military junta’s strategic military…

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Peace Analysis of December

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By on ANALYSIS, Monthly analysis, Political Analysis

      The State Administrative Council (SAC) seized the political power from the democratically elected government, National League for Democracy (NLD) since early 2021, however, the regime SAC now has been in the middle of various crises, surrounded by enemies. SAC which seized the state power has tried to get a political recognition by opposing of the civil resistance and international sanctions. On the other hand, SAC is holding for-show peace talks with Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs), by claiming that the 2022 was as peace year while the military troops are still operating military offensives against resistance forces on various battlefield,…

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Ethnic political actors, the February coup, and the “Spring Revolution”

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By on Political Analysis

Dr. Ashley South Ethnic nationality communities in Myanmar have long suffered murderous attacks and a wide range of human rights abuses at the hands of the Myanmar Army. Nevertheless, villagers in conflict-affected areas, and many of the Ethnic Armed Organisations (EAOs) which seek to represent and protect them, are extraordinarily resilient. Following the 1 February coup in Burma, they are more relevant than ever. In the aftermath of the military coup, many government servants went on strike, with many bravely continuing to refuse to cooperate with the junta. In this context, the health, education, and other services delivered by EAOs,…

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