ANALYSIS

North Korean Arms, Myanmar Military, and US Sanctions

By Rice on October 3, 2025 HOME, Monthly analysis

International responses to the situation in Myanmar during September were complex, revealing multifaceted approaches. On one hand, a country like the United States is targeting the arms procurement network of the military junta that seized power, while on the other, a powerful neighboring country like China continues its military technology and economic cooperation with the military junta. On one hand, a country like the United States is targeting the arms procurement network of the military junta that seized power, while on the other, a powerful neighboring country like China continues its military technology and economic cooperation with the military junta.…

The Myanmar Military Junta’s Election: Manufacturing Legitimacy for Dictatorship

By Rice on September 29, 2025 ANALYSIS, HOME, Political Analysis

The primary objective of this essay is to analyze why the Junta’s election fundamentally lacks legitimacy, and how the severe domestic opposition to this electoral farce has shifted Myanmar’s political trajectory away from restoring the old system under the 2008 Constitution and toward establishing a new Federal Democratic Union. Introduction: The Junta’s Deception The Myanmar Military Junta, which seized power against the will of the people in 2021, has announced plans to hold a general election tentatively scheduled to begin in December 2025 (Wikipedia, 2025). This action is met with unified and categorical rejection from domestic political forces…

Security Alert for The Mon People

By Rice on September 25, 2025 ANALYSIS, HOME, MEDIA, Monthly analysis, Political Analysis

The military junta plans to initially hold elections in five townships in Mon State for the first phase of election: Kyaikto, Kyaik Maraw, Chaung zone, Mawlamyine, and Thaton. The military is increasing security in the remaining townships to prepare for the upcoming elections. Even though there have been few battles in Mon State, military activity continues in some townships. The military junta is also conducting military operations and airstrikes under the pretense of holding elections. Meanwhile, revolutionary groups that oppose the elections are also actively fighting against the military junta’s anti-sham election. The military junta lifted martial law in Ye…

The Mon Revolution Day (Statement Review)

By Rice on August 23, 2025 ANALYSIS, MEDIA, Political Analysis

On the full moon day of War Gaung, August 8, 2025, the modern Mon Revolution Day reached its 78th anniversary. The Mon Revolution has gone through many ups and downs, rises and falls, but at present it is once again being pushed toward armed revolution. As usual, on this 78th Mon Revolution Day, about 11 different revolutionary forces issued statements and congratulatory messages as RICE has recorded. From these (11) statements, some significant points are highlighted and analyzed below. Bago Revolutionary Forces: The Possible “Mon De” Generation Descendants First, let’s analyze the statements that were sent to Mon State Federal…

How the revolutionary force MSRF is involved in controlling Union Highway No. 8:

Upcoming Election May Intensify Fighting in Mon State

By Rice on August 18, 2025 ANALYSIS, HOME, MEDIA, Political Analysis

Upcoming Election May Intensify Fighting in Mon State In July, there were fewer battles in Mon State between the military and revolutionary forces compared to the dry season because of the rain. However, fighting still continued. It was especially present in the southern part of Mon State, in Ye Township and the border area between Ye and Thanbyuzayat. In July, there were fewer battles in Mon State between the military and revolutionary forces compared to the dry season because of the rain. However, fighting still continued. It was especially present in the southern part of Mon State, in Ye…

MSFC: Pioneering the Future of Mon State Governance

By Rice on April 3, 2024 ANALYSIS, HOME, Monthly analysis

The Mon State Federal Council (MSFC) emerged from the transformation of the Mon State Interim Coordination Council (MSICC) during a pivotal conference convened on January 21st and 22nd of 2023. Evolving into a multi-faceted governing body, the MSFC embodies the structure of executive, legislative, and judiciary branches like traditional governmental frameworks. Within the MSFC’s executive arm, ten departments oversee various administrative functions, ranging from defense and home affairs to education, health, humanitarian aid, and more. Noteworthy among them are departments managing land resources, external relations, finance, and taxation, showcasing the broad scope of the council’s authority. Importantly,…

Peace Analysis (January, 2024)

By Rice on February 8, 2024 ANALYSIS, HOME, Monthly analysis, Political Analysis

In this January’s Peace Analysis, the trends of the self-autonomy adopted by certain ethnic armed organizations, within the Northern Alliance, with a main purpose to liberate from the control of the central government is existing into practice. The imminent prospect of a significant confrontation in the Southern regions of Burma/Myanmar during the new year, named “Battle Call of the Southern Burma,” has been highlighted in our weekly peace analysis. A thorough examination reveals that the revolutionary forces have gained an upper hand in the conflict, using their dominance in the southern part of Myanmar. Concurrently, the military junta’s strategic military…

ARAKAN’S SOVEREIGNTY AND BACKSLIDING WAR

By Rice on December 18, 2023 ANALYSIS, HOME, Monthly analysis

In the aftermath of the Mokha storm, the inhabitants of Rakhine state find themselves contending with the arduous task of reconstruction, hoping for a return to normalcy. Regrettably, their aspirations have been thwarted by the unfolding events. The extension of the 1027 Operation into Rakhine State has disrupted the fragile ceasefire commitment between the Rakhine Army (AA) and the Military. This breach holds significant implications for the people of Rakhine, who now face the brunt of renewed hostilities. Paradoxically, amidst the challenges and the immediate impact on the civilian population, there is an observable surge in the Rakhine revolution. This…

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